Saturday, March 26, 2016

The End of the Boeing Airbus Duopoly?

For the last few decades, Boeing and Airbus have been the biggest and best known commercial aircraft manufacturers in the world. They each have proven track records and thousands of aircraft that take to the sky each day for a wide array of commercial and private applications. While these firms have struggled to gain complete market dominance, they have largely been unchallenged in the commercial aircraft market, forming a duopoly. Today, this may be changing. The Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China (COMAC) has developed the C919, a direct competitor to both Airbus A320 and Boeing 737 product lines (Cosgrave, 2015).

Although the COMAC C919 is just entering the market, a large hurdle continues to be certification by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) which would allow the aircraft to be flown in the United States. I do think that eventually, the C919 will gain FAA certification. The United States has a very large demand for single aisle aircraft like the C919; if it can meet safety standards, it will be approved. However, I also think it will take some time before the aircraft will be certified. The FAA will likely wait to see what kind of operational performance the aircraft has in other countries and in China. After it has a more proven track record and is able to comply with FAA standards, I see the aircraft being certified and flying in the United States. The lack of certification is likely due to the fact that COMAC is a completely new aircraft manufacturer. Thus, the FAA is proceeding slowly and carefully to ensure the aircraft is safe. Ironically, many components on the aircraft are even made by U.S. manufacturers. The electrical, radar, door signal, flight control, fuel, landing gear, flight recorder, fire detection, and auxiliary power systems are manufactured in the United States (Jiang, 2015). Thus, the aircraft is composed of many reputable components from reputable manufacturers. FAA certification will simply depend on whether COMAC can assemble the components to create a safe and reliable aircraft. If the aircraft in its current state does not meet FAA standards, I think COMAC will retrofit the C919 so that it will eventually gain certification.

Assuming the C919 is certified, the problem for U.S. carriers will likely be public perception. Many Americans have a very poor regard for Chinese manufacturing and quality, regardless of the high quantity of goods manufactured there. Thus, I feel that many passengers may be reluctant to board an aircraft that was built by the same country who uses lead paint and poisonous chemicals to produce cheaply made products. Not to mention the fact that the aircraft is new, COMAC is new, and there really isn't a track record of safety for the aircraft or manufacturer. U.S. carriers may also face greater pressure when purchasing aircraft. Traditionally, the choice has been Airbus, Boeing, and other well known manufacturers, like Bombardier and Embraer. With the C919, carriers will have yet another option. Complicating the situation is the relatively cheap price for the C919; rumored to be somewhere around $50 million, which is far cheaper than equivalent Boeing and Airbus products (Johnson, 2015). This could strain the monopolized relationships between major air carriers and the legacy manufacturers. If U.S. carriers were to purchase the C919, it would almost be a guilty pleasure for them. The cost savings have the potential to be astronomical, yet at the same time public perception and manufacturer relationships may be at stake.

Entering the market on May 11th, 2008, COMAC is owned by the Chinese Government and consists of various Chinese aerospace and manufacturing companies ("About," n.d.). The overall goal of the company is to develop a commercial aviation manufacturing industry in China. In other words, it is China's turn to compete in the international commercial aircraft manufacturing market, and COMAC will be leading this charge. With well over 500 orders, the C919 will be flying mostly for airlines owned by the Chinese Government. This certainly suggests a conflict of interest; a Chinese aerospace manufacturer owned by the government will be producing aircraft primarily for airlines also owned by the Chinese Government. Thus, the aircraft has virtually no orders from the rest of the aviation world. This is likely due to the fact that COMAC remains untested by time, and air carriers have little experience with entirely Chinese produced aircraft.

COMAC is also rumored to be exploring the possibility of entering the wide-body aircraft market with the C929 aircraft, which would compete with the Boeing 747 and Airbus A380. What isn't speculation, however, is the COMAC ARJ21 aircraft. The aircraft is smaller, seating only 78 passengers ("ARJ21," n.d.). Essentially, the ARJ21 is COMAC's version of a regional jet, designed for shorter hops in the hub and spoke system. First delivery of this regional variant was scheduled for 2007; as of 2012, no ARJ21 aircraft have been delivered (Chang, 2012). Nonetheless, this aircraft will also allow COMAC to compete with Embraer, Bombardier, and other regional jet manufacturers. Now the only aircraft category COMAC is missing is wide-body.

As COMAC enters the market, I do not think it will encourage other manufacturers to follow suit. To clarify, COMAC is really not a competitor to Airbus or Boeing today. Their 517 C919 orders are largely derived from the Chinese Government, which also owns the airlines. Furthermore, COMAC is lacking the immense experience Airbus and Boeing have been building on for decades. As soon as COMAC reaches the current development level of the legacy manufacturers, they will likely be 25 or 50 years behind already (Cosgrave, 2015). The company has already suffered severe budget and delivery issues with the ARJ21 aircraft (Chang, 2012). I do not think COMAC will be able to catch up or produce a product that is superior in quality, reliability, and performance to Airbus or Boeing. I think aircraft manufacturers looking to expand into the commercial aircraft market in the shadow of COMAC will see this extreme disadvantage and remain clear of the market.

Airbus and Boeing have continued to improve upon their 737 and A320 product lines, but it is unclear if COMAC inspired the latest product developments from these manufacturing giants. Boeing, for instance, will be revealing the 737-Max, which will boast improvements in fuel efficiency and passenger comfort. Similarly, Airbus will be refreshing the A320 line with the A320neo, which will feature more fuel efficient engine options as well. I do not think these developments were designed to compete with COMAC, but instead to remain competitive in general. It will be interesting to see when the C919 is certified by the FAA and how the market will respond.

References
About us. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://english.comac.cc/aboutus/introduction/
ARJ21. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://english.comac.cc/products/rj/
Chang, G. (2012, November 25). China's aiation ABCs: Airbus, Boeing, and COMAC. Retrieved from http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2012/11/25/chinas-aviation-abcs-airbus-boeing-and-comac/#2d23107d1048
Cosgrave, J. (2015, November 9). Is China a real threat to Boeing and Airbus? Retrieved from http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/09/is-chinas-first-plane-a-real-threat-to-boeing-and-airbus.html
Jiang, S. (2015, November 2). China to take on Boeing, Airbus with homegrown C919 passenger jet. Retrieved from http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/02/asia/china-new-c919-passenger-jet/

Johnson, P. (2015, December 17). Competition for Boeing as COMAC's C919 is the new kid on the block. Retrieved from http://www.forbes.com/sites/pierrjohnson/2015/12/17/competition-for-boeing-as-comacs-c919-is-the-new-kid-on-the-block/#7f5adcb66c1a

Sunday, March 20, 2016

Professionalism in Aviation

Fewer flights, skyrocketing fares, and smaller cities losing air carrier service. This is not a nightmare, but a grim reality of the pilot shortage that will only intensify. Experts and leaders in the industry all agree that regional air carriers are having more trouble staffing their aircraft with pilots. What experts do not agree on is why. Some industry leaders argue that there are simply not enough certificated pilots entering the field; enrollment in flight schools is down, while pilot demand is at an all time high. Birgit Anderson (2016) reveals that the number of commercial aircraft operating in the United States will rise 7.7% over the next 20 years, while only two thirds of the pilots required to fly these aircraft will be available. This side of the argument is based on simple math. A Boeing analysis reveals that over the next 20 years, the pilot demand in North America will require 95,000 pilots, while the supply of qualified pilots will only be 64,000 (Anderson, 2016). Thus, the industry will be short well over 30,000 pilots in North America alone, not to mention more severe shortages in Europe and the Middle East. Proponents of this argument point to a lack of interest in the field and related expenses to explain the shortage. Some claim that rough travel schedules, expensive education costs, and the cyclical nature of the industry have turned many away ("The Coming," 2015). Others claim that there is not a shortage of qualified pilots. Instead, there is a shortage of pay, especially in the regional airline industry. The president of the Air Line Pilots Association (ALPA) notes, "There may be a shortage of qualified pilots who are willing to fly for U.S. airlines because of the industry's recent history of instability, poor pay, and benefits" (Bachman, 2014). Supporters of this argument point to the thousands of U.S. pilots who fly for foreign carriers or who have ended their careers in aviation as a result of such poor pay. Justin Bachman (2014) reveals there are likely thousands of pilots flying for foreign carriers eager to fly in the U.S. again, but only for better compensation than what is currently offered.

Although the latter argument may be convincing, I see the pilot shortage as more than a shortage of pay. The numbers are clear; there are simply not enough qualified pilots to meet current and future airline demand. With flight school enrollment down, growing training costs, high retirement rates for legacy carriers, and a dwindling pool of military pilots, there are simply not enough qualified pilots to meet the demand. Yes, poor wages have driven thousands of pilots out of the industry or to foreign carriers. However, even if all of these pilots returned to the U.S. industry, I do not think it would be enough to compensate for the 30,000 required to meet the demand in North America over the next 20 years. There are not enough pilots to meet the demand.

The regional airlines are extremely concerned that their pool of qualified pilots is drying up. After the 2009 Colgan accident in Buffalo, New York, pilots are now required to have at least 1,500 hours of flight time to fly for an airline. Graduates of a four year aviation university are only required to have 1,000 hours of flight time; due to greater training costs, these candidates are even more sparse. Regional airlines are concerned with these regulations, as in the past, they could legally hire candidates with as few as 250 hours. Now that the minimums have increased six fold, the number of pilots qualified or willing to reach such flight minimums has drastically decreased. Part of the issue with regional carriers especially is their traditionally low pay. A starting regional pilot can expect to make only $30,000, even after years of training and upwards of $80,000 in training costs ("The Coming," 2015). Regional airlines are also concerned that their lack of pilots may seriously degrade their operational performance. Many carriers, such as Republic Airways, are unable to staff their flights. As a result, they are being sued by Delta Air Lines, and have since filed for bankruptcy ("Delta Sues," 2015).

The best solution for regional carriers is to raise wages. Providing more attractive compensation packages will draw more pilots into the industry and motivate aspiring aviators to become airline pilots. This will be difficult, as regional carriers will have to negotiate with legacy carriers for higher wages or cut expenses in other areas, if possible. Another solution is for airlines to increase their promotional and outreach programs. Visiting high schools and universities will certainly increase the appeal of the profession and encourage students to pursue the career. Establishing more pathway programs and incentives may also help. Although unlikely, if regional carriers could provide more direct compensation and oversight of collegiate aviation candidates, they would have much larger pilot pools to draw from. For instance, airlines could sign conditional offers with students and in return pay for a certain amount of training while providing guidance and support along the way.

In terms of unionization, ALPA is generally the most common airline pilot union utilized in the industry today. However, many other positions in the airline industry are part of the Teamsters Union. The Teamsters Airline Division has agreements with the Professional Air Traffic Controllers Organization (PATCO), the American Aviation Labor Alliance (AALA), and more to protect thousands of ramp agents, pilots, and air traffic controllers in the industry ("Teamsters," n.d.). For aviation mechanics, the Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal Organization represents thousands of mechanics from Southwest and Alaska Air Lines ("Aircraft Mechanics," n.d.). The aviation industry has hundreds of unions to protect virtually every position.

Professionalism is a mentality which demands a willingness to learn, take direction, and accept criticism with stride. It requires one to act in a manner which reflects personal and organizational goals. To be deemed a professional, one must exhibit a high degree of knowledge and experience in a given subject, which will be reflected through behavior and job performance. It should be easy to spot a professional given their behavior on the job and around co-workers, as well as off the job. A professional is always learning, always pushing for excellence and perfection, while leaving personal vendettas and egos at home. They will set aside personal beliefs and do their best to work with anyone to complete an objective. In aviation, a professional will always place safety as the primary concern and do everything in their power to maintain it, regardless of financial or managerial pressure.

A lack of professionalism was exhibited in the film when an airline captain was caught falsifying weight and balance data for a commercial flight to make things easier. The pilot blatantly disregarded safety, company policy, and failed to exercise Crew Resource Management (CRM) as his first officer voiced his safety concerns. A true professional would not have falsified the document, would have listened to the concerns of his first officer, and placed safety as the greatest priority. Professionalism was also lacking with management as they falsified duty time in order to get a fatigued pilot to fly one more leg home. They threatened the pilot with the fact that he would spend even more time away from home, even though he was extremely tired and likely unfit to fly. A professional manager would also place safety first, and sympathize with the pilot instead of issuing threats for not completing the mission.

I assert that the regional airline compensation structure is the primary cause of these voids in professionalism. A serious conflict of interest exists when an airline is compensated based on the completion of a flight. This places pressure on upper management, pilots, and other employees to get the job done so the airline will be paid. This is a major safety conflict, as it provides the motivation to turn a blind eye and do anything possible to keep aircraft moving. The situations where professionalism was lacking in the film seemed to be derived from the desire to keep the aircraft on time and get them to the destination, regardless of safety. Factoring in the thin profit margins provided by their contracts, compensation based on flight completion is a recipe for unsafe practices and a lack of professionalism.

I intend on maintaining my professionalism by continuing to develop my flying and decision making skills. I feel that if a pilot is not learning, he or she will not perform to the best of their ability. It is impossible to know everything, but making decisions with more knowledge and experience will certainly assist with situations which may arise in the future. I also intend on maintaining professionalism by placing safety as my first priority, regardless of any external pressure. Jobs can be replaced; people can not. It can be hard in situations where a lot of money is on the line or in extreme cases a job, but it is the duty of all airmen to operate with the highest degree of safety possible. That is professionalism in aviation.

References
Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal Association. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.amfanational.org/
Anderson, B. (2016, January 28). Pilot shortage threatens to slow U.S. airline growth. Retrieved from http://www.forbes.com/sites/oliverwyman/2016/01/28/pilot-shortage-threatens-to-slow-u-s-airline-growth/#30f5cc11bb6e
Bachman, J. (2014, February 11). Yes, there's a pilot shortage: Salaries start at $21,000. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-02-11/pilot-shortage-regional-airlines-are-cutting-flights
The coming U.S. pilot shortage is real. (2016, February 16). Retrieved from http://aviationweek.com/commercial-aviation/coming-us-pilot-shortage-real
Delta sues Republic Airways over flights lost to pilot dispute. (2015, October 6). Retrieved from http://www.ibj.com/articles/55195-delta-sues-republic-airways-over-flights-lost-to-pilot-dispute
Teamsters Airline Division. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://teamsterair.org/

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Space: The Final Frontier?

As commercial aviation becomes more common to the everyday traveler, the idea of commercial space expedition has certainly captured the public interest. While Elon Musk and Richard Branson soak up the press, the concepts of commercial space flight are not new. In April, 2001, Dennis Tito became the first civilian to pay for a ride to space (Jee, 2016). Charlottee Jee (2016) notes that Tito spent around $20 million to take a Russian spacecraft to the International Space Station (ISS). She also reveals that Tito was only one of seven individuals privileged to pay for a trip to space, thanks to the Space Adventures firm. The last commercial space flight was conducted in 2009, when Guy Laliberte paid $35 million to Space Adventures for a trip to the ISS (Jee, 2016).

Since 2009, SpaceX, Virgin Galactic, and Space Adventures have been on the front lines of commercial space advancement. The companies have been running tests and experiments to develop an affordable way to bring people to space. Cost is certainly the largest factor for these companies. Although Dennis Tito can afford to pay $20 million for a trip to space, many people cannot. Thus, the goal is to reduce costs in order to make commercial space flight as available as possible to the masses. Although a Virgin Galactic ticket will cost $250,000, it is still only a fraction of what others have paid to experience the thrills of space travel (Carrington, 2013). Given space travel is still extremely intricate and demanding for many of these private sector agencies, delays and reliability remain in question. Richard Branson of Virgin Galactic predicted his commercial space operation would be running by 2010; he is know aiming for a 2016 debut (Jee, 2016). Beyond these lengthy delays and frivolous costs, safety remains at the forefront of challenges for commercial space flight. In October 2014, a Virgin Galactic spacecraft crashed, leaving one dead, and in June 2015, the SpaceX Falcon 9 was destroyed shortly after launch (Jee, 2016).  

Regulation of commercial space endeavors has been relatively relaxed. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) relies on its Office of Commercial Space Transportation (AST) to issue permits for launches and to ensure that a spacecraft will not harm people on the ground or other craft in the air (Peterson, 2014). Andrea Peterson (2014) reveals that the AST does not certify the actual spacecraft or any other aspects of a given mission; its purpose is to ensure the safety of those on the ground. This is very different from how the FAA oversees commercial aviation activities. For instance, all aircraft, large and small, must be deemed airworthy by the FAA in order for them to legally operate. With the AST, commercial spacecraft are not required to be inspected or approved. Michael Listner of Space Law and Policy Solutions, notes, "Everybody is walking into unknown territory, and its difficult to regulate something you don't understand fully" (Davenport, 2015). The fact that commercial space flight is an "unknown endeavor," to the FAA may explain why they have had little regulatory influence over the past few years, even in the face of a fatality in 2014. As for those undertaking the risks of flying in space, the FAA is not considering those individuals passengers, but informed individuals who must be briefed on the risks and hazards of the journey they are about to undertake (Peterson, 2014).

If one is interested in piloting a commercial space craft, the requirements are not as rigorous as those to pilot fighter aircraft. Among various training requirements and the ability to withstand the stresses of space flight, the FAA only requires a space crew member to have an FAA pilot certificate and instrument rating ("Electronic Code," n.d.). Hence, a private pilot with an instrument rating capable of withstanding the forces of space and who undergoes the necessary training is eligible. Unfortunately, the major space agencies are recruiting some of the most experienced pilots in the industry. Virgin Galactic, for example, is poaching airline pilots from Virgin Atlantic (Belfiore, 2009). Michael Belfiore (2009) reveals that the hiring minimums at Virgin Galactic include 3,000 hours of flight time and ratings on a variety of aircraft; no height and weight limitations have been implemented.

I do not think commercial space flight is regulated enough. However, I think it is extremely difficult for the FAA to regulate. The FAA has essentially no experience with space flight. Thus, I feel that they should rely on the opinions and recommendations of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) to formulate regulations, especially for the certification of spacecraft. It is unacceptable to allow people to pay for a trip to space when they have no regulatory assurance that the craft will meet certain safety and reliability standards. Thus, commercial space craft should be treated the same as commercial aircraft; required to comply with very stringent FAA safety regulations in order to protect public interests.

Furthermore, I do not foresee the commercial space industry advancing into a widely available transportation medium. I do not think that the price per seat on-board a spacecraft will ever be affordable, even to the extremely wealthy. Although Virgin Galactic and SpaceX are working towards affordability, their target prices are still far more than many Americans make in a given year. It will take a very long time for a spacecraft to be developed and marketed at prices comparable to commercial air travel. Even spacecraft with $250,000 seat prices have yet to successfully complete their first missions. Inevitably, I feel that the commercial space industry will parallel the supersonic transportation fad. I feel that it will be too expensive to maintain, develop, and fall victim to technological limitations, economic hindrances, or devastating accidents.  


References
Belfiore, M. (2009, February). License to thrill. Retrieved from http://www.airspacemag.com/space/license-to-thrill-46607056/?no-ist
Carrington, D. (2013, August 16). What does a $250,000 ticket to space with Virgin Galactic actually buy you? Retrieved from http://www.cnn.com/2013/08/15/travel/virgin-galactic-250000-ticket-to-space/
Davenport, C. (2015, November 24). Space tourism is closer to taking off, but how should it be regulated? Retrieved from http://www.latimes.com/business/technology/la-fi-thedownload-space-act-20151124-story.html
Jee, C. (2016, February 19). Commercial space travel: A decade of broken promises. Retrieved from http://www.techworld.com/picture-gallery/personal-tech/space-tourism-decade-of-broken-promises-3630327/#9
Peterson, A. (2014, November 6). Manned commercial space flight: The final unregulated frontier. Retrieved from https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-switch/wp/2014/11/06/manned-commercial-space-flight-the-final-unregulated-frontier/

Saturday, March 5, 2016

The Unfair Skies

Although most travelers are under the assumption that every airline is its own entity, separate from governmental institutions, this is not the case for many foreign, long-haul carriers. Qatar, Emirates, and Etihad Airlines, the largest and most successful in the Middle East, are actually owned by their respective governments. Qatar Airways, for instance, began operations in 1994 and was relaunched in 1997 under the mandate of the Emir Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani (Laing, 2015). Lainge (2015) also reveals that when the airline was launched again, the goal was to become the international leader in customer support, quality, and efficiency. Qatar operates to more than 150 destinations using over 170 aircraft of various models, including the Airbus A380 and Boeing 777 ("The Qatar," 2016). Again, the primary ownership of the airline belongs to the government of Qatar. Emirates Airlines began flying short flights out of Dubai in 1985. With the goal of customer satisfaction, the airline expanded to well over 230 aircraft, including the Airbus A380 and Boeing 777, flying to 140 destinations worldwide ("Our Company," n.d.). The airline is currently operated by Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum, a government official and relative of the Prime Minister of the United Arab Emirates ("His Highness," n.d.). Etihad Airways was established in 2003 by royal decree, and claims the title of the national airline of the United Arab Emirates (Corporate Profile," n.d.). The airline boasts a fleet of 120 heavy aircraft, 116 destinations, and over 14 million revenue passengers each year ("Fast Facts," 2015).

Since Qatar, Emirates, and Etihad have deep rooted government ties, they receive significant financial assistance. Laing (2015) notes that since 2004, the three carriers have received well over $42 billion in government subsidies. For carriers in the United States, especially United, American, and Delta, these boosts are distorting fair competition guaranteed by the Open Skies Agreement, leaving them unable to compete in international markets (Lainge, 2015). Although major carriers in the United States do not enjoy such lavish government funding, many foreign airlines argue that the bankruptcy laws used by Delta, United, and American are in fact a form of subsidy (Zhang, 2015). Zhang (2015) notes that these bankruptcy laws have allowed many U.S. carriers to shed debt, expensive labor contracts, and save millions in the process. In order to further their position, foreign carriers point to the fact that the United States has spent over $155 billion from 1919 through 1988 in airline subsidies (Reed, 2015). Reed (2015) explains that most of this money was actually allocated to the Federal Aviation Administration; little was actually given directly to Delta, American, or United. Furthermore, these subsidies were not used as they are now with Etihad, Emirates, and Qatar. These carriers are using subsidies to buy the most advanced aircraft, build the largest and most lavish airports, and fill them with passengers by exploiting treaties from around the world (Reed, 2015). Reed notes that subsidies given to carriers in the United States were used instead to gradually build up the aviation infrastructure, providing incentive to grow commercial passenger operations.

Fueling debates of unfair competition is the Export-Import Bank. The bank allows foreign air carriers to purchase aircraft built in the United States, primarily from Boeing, with a guarantee that their interest rates will be low (Weisman & Lipton, 2015). Delta, American, and United claim that the guarantees provided by the bank allow foreign carriers to save a significant amount of money on aircraft purchases, allowing them to reduce fares on international routes. Airlines in the United States are unable to partake in the guarantees provided by the Export-Import Bank, which is why they claim foreign carriers have yet another unfair market advantage.

Overall, I think the long haul playing field for air carriers is not a fair one. The billions in subsidies enjoyed by Emirates, Etihad, and Qatar artificially increase overall performance and utility that American carriers are be unable to keep up with. Foreign carriers always have a cushion of subsidies to fall on during periods of economic recession. Delta, American, and United must put away billions, as they will have to fend for themselves during times of slow economic growth. Thus, as foreign carriers have greater cash flow, they are able to purchase the best aircraft on the market and offer the lowest fares in the industry. Meanwhile, American carriers are forced to compete with aging aircraft and very strict budgeting guidelines. The unfair loan guarantees provided with the Export-Import Bank only exacerbate the situation, allowing foreign carriers to purchase aircraft for less.

However, I also believe that American carriers are partially using foreign government subsidies as an excuse to reduce competition and continue making record profits. Many air carriers in the United States are extremely profitable; thus they can probably afford to start purchasing more aircraft, reducing fares, or increasing the passenger experience. Yes, they need to save so when the industry falls from peak to valley, they will survive. At the same time, if an airline is making record profit, they should be able to begin investing some of the money into their infrastructure to make themselves more competitive, especially against foreign carriers. I think that if Delta, United, American, and other major carriers in the United States continue making record profits, they will have the means to become more competitive in the current environment. In the end, until foreign carriers cease to accept government subsidies and the Export-Import Bank is abolished or changed, the playing field for long-haul international air carriage will continue to operate on an unfair basis.

References
Corporate profile. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.etihad.com/en-us/about-us/corporate-profile/
His highness sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.theemiratesgroup.com/english/our-company/leadership/hh-sheikh-ahmed-bin-saeed-al-maktoum.aspx
Laing, K. (2015, March 12). Airlines: Foreign subsidies are destroying flight competition. Retrieved from http://thehill.com/policy/transportation/235543-airlines-foreign-subsidies-destroying-flight-competition
Our company. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.emirates.com/us/english/about/
The Qatar Airways story [Press release]. (2016, February 1).
Reed, T. (2015, April 14). U.S. airlines have paid the government $250 billion -- amazingly, some claim they are subsidized. Retrieved from http://www.forbes.com/sites/tedreed/2015/04/14/u-s-airlines-have-paid-the-government-250-billion-amazingly-some-claim-they-are-subsidized/3/#fa36b795648e
Weisman, J., & Lipton, E. (2015, April 6). Boeing and Delta spend millions in fight over Export-Import Bank’s existence. Retrieved from http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/07/business/boeing-delta-air-lines-export-import-bank.html

Zhang, B. (2015, July 28). The Middle East's 3 best airlines have infuriated their US competitors. Retrieved from http://www.businessinsider.com/middle-eastern-us-airlines-dispute-future-of-air-travel-2015-7

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have certainly captured the attention of millions of Americans, aviation enthusiasts, governmental entities, and nearly everyone in between. Although the technology has already been integrated into a plethora of military applications, UAVs have already settled into select civilian applications. Perhaps one of the most well known civilian applications of the technology is the film industry in the United States. Smaller UAVs equipped with professional grade cameras are able to capture images from angles and heights previously out of reach or too dangerous to attempt. Although large scale films, such as Chappie, utilize drones, many amateur film makers are also using the devices to capture the perfect shot ("Five," 2015). Drones are also being employed to increase marketing efficiency. Marketing developers at AdNear use drones equipped with cell phone detecting equipment to capture data from people in the San Fernando Valley to direct personalized advertisements to cell phone owners below (Paganini, 2015). UAVs have even touched the academic and scientific communities across the country. Several universities, along with NASA, have developed drones capable of flying into hurricanes and other violent weather systems ("Five," 2015). The images and data collected by the drones, too dangerous to collect with a conventional aircraft, will help scientists learn more about hurricane development and forecasting. UAVs are also employed for agricultural purposes. Many farmers are purchasing the drones to survey their land, gather better topographical information, and in turn, adjust when they harvest as well as how they apply their chemicals (Doering, 2014).

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is currently the regulatory agency tasked with drone enforcement and regulation on the civilian end. As of late 2015, recreational drones weighing 250 grams through 55 pounds must be registered with the FAA ("UAS," n.d.). The FAA also maintains that penalties for failing to register or have proof of registration range from $27,500 in civil penalties and up to $250,000 in criminal penalties with a maximum of three years in jail. For commercial UAV applications, the process for registration is more than a quick online session and a $5 fee. Those who wish to operate the aircraft for commercial purposes must either apply for a Section 333 Exemption or Special Airworthiness Certificate, both of which require far more paperwork and time ("Civil," n.d.).

Although commercial drone applications have not quite blossomed, many companies are hiring drone pilots and engineers now to prepare for the UAV craze. Amazon and Facebook, for instance, are opening the gates for UAV operators and logistical engineers to bring their unmanned programs to life (Rooney, 2014). Rooney (2014) reveals that in the next 10 years, the UAV industry will create upwards of 100,000 jobs. He notes that although the market is still in its infancy, major players such as Boeing, Northrop Grumman, and Lockheed Martin are hiring UAV specialists from top universities across the country.  

With regard to military applications, UAVs have changed the overall utility of air support. Instead of sending a manned aircraft into a risky area, a UAV will gladly accept such missions without hesitation. The United States Air Force (USAF) typically uses the devices for high risk situations, including reconnaissance, bomb detection, surveying enemy troops, providing air support, and striking select targets ("Drones," 2012). Although the drones may cost $12 million each, many modern fighter aircraft in the military cost at least ten times as much (Ratnesar, 2013). In terms of effectiveness, Ratnesar (2013) also reveals that the civilian casualty rate for drone strikes is 17 percent compared to other military operations that range anywhere from 30 to 80 percent. Although these statistics are still unfortunate, it is clear that military UAV applications are more accurate, more effective, and result in fewer casualties than traditional military endeavors.

I do not foresee UAV aircraft integrating into the National Airspace System (NAS). I feel that the risk posed while operating around other commercial or recreational aircraft is too great to warrant such proposals. Today, UAV technology is not able to replace the critical thinking skills of a human pilot on-board an aircraft. Until this happens, it is too risky to place a gadget anywhere near other aircraft in the airspace system. The potential for losing a drone or a simple mistake by an amateur UAV pilot could wreak havoc for a commercial airliner. We have already seen drones penetrating restricted airspace, landing on the White House lawn, and disrupting emergency operations, to name a few (Paganini, 2015). The public, with knowledge of the threats posed by these small devices, will certainly object the idea of UAVs flying near passenger carrying aircraft, regardless of any inherent redundancies proposed in the integration processes. From a logistical standpoint, there is no infrastructure to facilitate UAV communication with Air Traffic Control (ATC), other pilots, and no airspace designated solely for drone operation. Although some integration plans call for an entire section of the NAS to be used for the sole purpose of drone operations, the high volume of air traffic already present will not be able to accommodate another special use airspace, especially in urban areas. Safe drone integration, with our current technology, is not feasible.

References
Civil operations. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.faa.gov/uas/civil_operations/

Doering, C. (2014, March 23). Growing use of drones poised to transform agriculture. Retrieved from http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2014/03/23/drones-agriculture-growth/6665561/

Drones: What are they and how do they work? (2012, January 31). Retrieved from http://www.bbc.com/news/world-south-asia-10713898

Five awesome uses for drone technology. (2015, November 17). Retrieved from http://phys.org/news/2015-11-awesome-drone-technology.html

Paganini, P. (2015, March 31). Why civilian drone use is a risky business. Retrieved from http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2015/03/31/why-civilian-drone-use-is-risky-business.html

Ratnesar, R. (2013, May 23). Five reasons why drones are here to stay. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/bw/articles/2013-05-23/five-reasons-why-drones-are-here-to-stay

Rooney, B. (2014, November 26). Drone pilot wanted: Starting salary $100,000. Retrieved from http://money.cnn.com/2014/11/25/news/drone-pilot-degree/

UAS registration Q&A. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.faa.gov/uas/registration/faqs/

       

Saturday, February 6, 2016

A Tiring Battle: Pilot Rest

In February, 2009, a small commuter aircraft crashed near Buffalo, New York. The flight, operated by Colgan Airlines, was piloted by an extremely fatigued crew. The first officer was even sick, and regularly commuted from the east coast to the west coast just to begin her work day. The families of the 50 people who perished were outraged, lobbying congress to immediately take action to change the industry and prevent other accidents from pilot fatigue.

In addition to increasing the minimum flight requirements for airline pilots, rest rules and regulations for commercial pilots were also revised in the wake of the Colgan Airlines accident. The new regulations require airline pilots to have at least ten hours of rest between their shifts, eight hours of which must be used for uninterrupted sleep (Trejos, 2014). Trejos (2014) also reveals that airline pilots are now limited to eight or nine hours of flight time and nine to fourteen hour duty periods, depending on when they are scheduled to fly as well as how many time zones the pilots will cross. The Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), Michael Huerta, reveals that these new rules provide, "pilots enough time to get the rest they really need to safely get passengers to their destinations" ("Feds," 2011). The previous generation of rest regulations required pilots to have have a minimum of only eight hours between flying shifts with no requirement for uninterrupted sleep (Trejos, 2014). In other words, the previous regulations allowed pilots to use their eight hours to eat, shop, and explore, instead of appropriating some of the time for sleep only.

Interestingly, cargo pilots were excluded from the new pilot rest regulations, which took effect in January, 2014. While airline pilots are only allowed up to nine hours of flight time, cargo pilots are able to fly for up to sixteen hours (Pegues, 2015). Not only are cargo pilots working longer hours, but they are typically flying during night hours; the critical time period when the body is seeking sleep. Pegues (2015) also describes a report from the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) which reveals that the air cargo industry would lose $13.6 billion and 7,000 jobs if the same rest rules for airline pilots were implemented. Consequently, major cargo carriers like UPS are trying to prevent the rules from taking effect while pilot unions at these companies are lobbying the FAA to implement them. The cargo pilot unions argue that cargo pilots face the same fatigue as airline pilots, and that the safety repercussions are just as serious (Trejos, 2014).

I think that cargo pilots have been excluded from these rules for purely monetary reasons. I think that the major cargo companies in the United States convinced congress that it would simply cost them too many jobs and too much money to implement the changes. Since cargo aircraft do not carry passengers, the public and congress perceive less risk. What they fail to realize is that a cargo aircraft plummeting to the ground is just as catastrophic as a passenger aircraft accident. The FAA seems to be united with these cargo carriers, as they note implementing the rules would cost cargo carriers another $214 million ("Feds," 2014).  

I do not agree with cargo carriers and the FAA on this issue. Cargo pilots are just as fatigued, if not more fatigued, than airline pilots. They are operating the same equipment, conducting the same job, and flying to the same airports as airline pilots, just with fewer occupants on-board. The fact that fewer lives are at stake on cargo aircraft is not an excuse. A large commercial aircraft, cargo or passenger, can wreak havoc on any city or industrial area. It makes no difference if the aircraft is full of people or packages; fatigue is still a danger for cargo pilots. I feel the FAA has done a poor job of managing this issue from a safety standpoint, valuing lost jobs and cost over real safety hazards.

From a pilot perspective, I think cargo pilots would welcome the new rest rules. A better rested pilot is more apt to perform optimally in every flying scenario. Especially given the fact that cargo pilots are flying through the night hours, the extra rest time would significantly increase the amount of quality sleep that these pilots could get. The bottom line is that cargo pilots are dealing with the same hazards and duties as airline pilots, and thus should be allotted the same rest regulations to promote safety across the board.

References
Feds extend pilots' rest time to avoid fatigue. (2011, December 21). Retrieved from http://www.cbsnews.com/news/feds-extend-pilots-rest-time-to-avoid-fatigue/

Pegues, J. (2015, February 24). Investigation: Why are cargo pilots excluded from new rest rules? Retrieved from http://www.cbsnews.com/news/investigation-why-are-cargo-pilots-excluded-from-new-rest-rules/

Trejos, N. (2014, January 3). New pilot fatigue rules go into effect this weekend. Retrieved from http://www.usatoday.com/story/todayinthesky/2014/01/03/pilot-fatigue-mandatory-rest-new-faa-rules/4304417/

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Reforming the Third Class Medical

General Aviation (GA) medical reform has been gaining ground as the Pilot's Bill of Rights 2 (PBR2) traverses the aisles of the United States Congress. The current agenda for third class medical reform, from a GA standpoint, is to medically aqpprove more people to fly for recreational purposes (Tennyson, 2015). Today, all pilots, including those who fly on sunny weekends to get a $100 hamburger, are required to pass a third class medical exam in order to fly. Tennyson (2015) notes that the Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association (AOPA) and the Experimental Aircraft Association (EAA), as well as many other organizations, have been lobbying congress to change the medical requirements for these recreational pilots. They assert that many pilots are medically disqualified from flying under the current regulations when they are fit to fly. The reform also aims to relieve the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) from the burden of medically certifying recreational pilots while placing more responsibility on pilots and their personal doctors. Mark Baker, President of AOPA, remarks, "The legislation moves the responsibility for managing many health issues out of the FAA's bureaucracy, and puts it in the hands of pilots, where it belongs," and, "The Pilots Bill of Rights 2 frees pilots to work with their personal physicians to manage their own health, wellness and fitness to fly" (McMillin, 2015).

Third class medical reform is a significant component of PBR2, which was approved by the Senate in December 2015 (Bergqvist, 2015). In order to be fully implemented, it will need to be approved by the House, and finally signed into law by President Obama. As it is written, PBR2 will essentially eliminate the third class medical. Pilots flying recreational, non commercial flights with aircraft weighing less than 6,000 pounds and containing a maximum of six seats would no longer be required to visit an FAA medical examiner regularly. Other limitations imposed on these recreational pilots include flying at altitudes less than 18,000 feet, a maximum airspeed of 250 knots, and carrying no more than five passengers (Tennyson, 2015). Although the bill no longer requires a frequent visit to an FAA doctor, it still requires pilots to visit a general care physician at least once every four years and take an online aeromedical course every two years (Bergqvist, 2015).

One of the most attractive components of third class medical reform is that recreational pilots would only be required to visit a personal physician once every four years and make a record of it in their logbook. This reduces the costs for pilots who would otherwise be required to spend over $200 to visit an FAA medical examiner regularly. It also allows pilots to make a decision with their personal care doctors as to weather they are fit to fly. Personal physicians are probably more familiar with a given patient's medical issues and history, which better qualifies them to decide whether an airmen is fit to fly. This will also prevent many airmen from being disqualified from a minor medical condition that, when monitored and treated, is harmless. The only adverse aspect of this is that older pilots may not be evaluated as often as they should. The bill does not require a 90 year old airmen to visit their health care professional more than a 20 year old airmen. This could prove disastrous, as older pilots may develop a string of hazardous health conditions during the four year exam interval and legally continue flying. Thus, the new reform puts the decision to fly in the hands of airmen who may not be willing to forfeit their flying abilities just yet. It only takes one poor choice for the unthinkable to unravel.

I do not think medical reform is an absolute necessity. Since the FAA's core responsibility is to preserve and protect public interests, airmen will always have to be medically certified in some fashion. Airline pilots and other commercial pilots will always need to be medically cleared by the FAA to fly for hire. Thus, aeromedical infrastructure and testing standards will always exist. The third class medical reform, if implemented, will really only reduce the paperwork that the FAA medical divisions have to keep track of while saving recreational airmen a little money on medical exams. I think it will benefit the GA industry if more pilots are allowed to fly and even encourage those with previously disqualifying conditions to fly for recreation. With this, however, I think that older pilots with unsafe conditions may be allowed to fly, which could pose a safety hazard. In closing, pilots must be medically fit individuals to exercise the privilege of flying. We accept this immense responsibility each time we nestle into the flight deck. As long as the FAA is sufficiently monitoring the health of all airmen, recreational and commercial, using FAA examiners or personal physicians, the air transportation system will continue to operate safely.

References
Bergqvist, P. (2015, December 17). Senate passes third class medical reform. Retrieved from http://www.flyingmag.com/senate-passes-third-class-medical-reform

McMillin, M. (2015, December 11). Third class medical reform moves to Senate. Retrieved from http://aviationweek.com/awinbizav/third-class-medical-reform-moves-senate

Tennyson, E. (2015, February 26). Medical reform legislation introduced in House, Senate. Retrieved from http://www.aopa.org/News-and-Video/All-News/2015/February/26/Medical-reform-legislation-introduced-in-House-and-Senate